Overall, among likely voters nationwide, Democratic rival Hillary Clinton holds a five point lead, 50 percent to 45 percent, according to the latest NBC/Surveymonkey poll.
Among registered voters, she holds a 6-point lead over Trump, 49 percent to 43 percent, according to the poll.
In a four-way match up, Clinton leads Trump by the same margin—45 percent to 40 percent among likely voters. Libertarian Gary Johnson has 10 percent support and Jill Stein trails with 4 percent, according to the poll.
Trump gained among black voters, risting to 19.6 percent from 3.1 percent, according to a new Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California tracking poll. But the gain isn’t outside the norm for a Republican candidate.
In the 2004 campaign, which pitted two white candidates, Democrat John Kerry against Republican George Bush, Kerry netted 83 percent of the non-white vote compared with 17 percent for Bush, according to Gallup.
In the 1992 election, Bill Clinton received 71 percent of the non-white vote compared with 11 percent for Republican George H.W. Bush and 11 percent for independent Ross Perot.
Hillary Clinton began her campaign following the hugely successful Democratic National Convention with 90.4 percent support among African-American voters. In the latest USC poll, her support fell to 71.4 percent, about the same as her husband.
The decline was not unexpected. Clinton was unlikely to maintain a lead by such a wide margin, which would have equaled or exceeded President Obama’s margin of support in his 2008 and 2012 campaigns.
Obama, the nation’s first African-American president, received 89 percent of the non-white vote in 2012 against Republican Mitt Romney and 90 percent of the non-white vote against Republican John McCain in 2008, according to Gallup.
Among Jewish voters, however, Trump is fairing the worst among all recent Republican presidential candidates.
Republican Jews — and more significantly Jewish donors to the Republican party — are abandoning Trump at a “stunningly high rate,” according to Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight web site.
In 2012, Obama received 71 percent of the $240 million Jewish donors spent in campaign contributions, while 29 percent went to Romney. The percentage mirrored the Jewish vote that year.
If the election were held today, Clinton would win 61 percent of the Jewish vote to Trump’s 19 percent, according to a new AJC survey of American Jews released Sept. 13.
But more significantly, 96 percent of Jewish campaign contributions have gone to Clinton compared to 4 percent for Trump so far in 2016, according to FiveThirtyEight.
Trump’s decline among traditional Jewish Republican supporters is self-inflicted. His anti-Semitic followers, anti-Semitic Tweets and Retweets and anti-Semitic comments in speeches have done him in.
Trump’s racism, religious intolerance and opposition to refugees are also taking a toll. “For a religious minority like Jews, who have a recent history of persecution and forced displacement, these issues are often especially salient,” according to Silver’s Web site.
Trump’s “lack of engagement with foreign affairs and unprecedented lack of experience in government” are also weighing heavily against him along with his contradictory statements on Israel.
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